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The worst-hit companies are small businesses with turnovers of below 5 million euro ($7 million). These companies are still the majority in the sector in numerical terms, though they account for just 10% of total turnover. Small businesses have experienced falls in turnover of more than 32%, in line with the drop in production reported by their client ceramic companies in Italy (where they generate virtually all of their business). For this reason, the micro-companies belonging to Acimac are the most pessimistic regarding the outlook for 2010. These are also the companies that have made the greatest use of social shock-absorbers and are expecting to continue to use them next year.
Larger companies have reported slightly less negative results. These companies are more active in international markets and are therefore less dependent on the performance of individual markets. For this and other reasons, their forecasts for 2010 are cautiously optimistic. Signs of recovery began to appear during the last few months of 2009 and provide hope that the sector will remain buoyant.
The employment situation in the Italian ceramic and heavy clay machinery sector appears to be less alarming than the national average in the manufacturing goods sector. The majority of companies have made limited use of the available social shock-absorbers. On average, the wages guarantee fund was adopted for around three months and only affected production personnel. The forecasts for 2010 are more cautious, although the majority of surveyed companies confirm that they will not need to resort to the wages guarantee fund unless market conditions worsen.
This situation is partly a result of the organizational structure of companies in the ceramic machinery sector, which have always had a very lean personnel structure and make significant use of production outsourcing. Although there are no official data, the Acimac Studies Centre believes that the employment situation is certainly more difficult for its member companies’ suppliers and sub-suppliers.
The Acimac Studies Centre has confirmed its moderately positive forecasts for 2010. Encouraging, if unconfirmed, signs are arriving from several foreign markets, particularly North Africa; Turkey; and South America, where Brazil, one of the world’s largest manufacturing countries, appears to have resumed growth. On the other hand, the European market is expected to remain highly stagnant and continues to cause serious concern.
Visit www.acimac.it for additional information.