Online Extra: Market Reports

November 1, 2010
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Recent market study reports pertaining to the ceramic industry.

Global Nanotechnology Market to Reach $27 Billion in 2015

According to “Nanotechnology: A Realistic Market Assessment,” a new report from BCC Research, the global market value for nanotechnology is an estimated $15.7 billion in 2010, but is expected to increase to nearly $27 billion in 2015, for a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.1%.
The largest segment of the market, nanomaterials, is expected to increase at a five-year CAGR of 14.7%, from nearly $10 billion in 2010 to nearly $19.6 billion in 2015. The second-largest segment, nanotools, is expected to reach a value of more than $6.8 billion in 2015. The market in 2010 is estimated at $5.8 million. Thus, the five-year CAGR is projected to be 3.3%.
 
The smallest segment of the market, nanodevices, will have the highest five-year CAGR at 45.9%. It is projected to increase from an estimated $35.4 million in 2010 to nearly $234 million in 2015.


BIPV Installed Capacity to Grow More than Tenfold by 2016

Building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) have historically been relegated to a niche market because solar modules and panels have simply cost too much and have been too difficult to install on residential and commercial roofs, building walls, windows, and other parts of the building structure. In addition, the production of BIPV products with appealing aesthetics has been limited.

A new report from Pike Research predicts that BIPV and building-applied photovoltaics (BAPV) market dynamics will change beginning in 2010. In addition, installed capacity will grow more than tenfold by 2016, approaching 2.4 gigawatts (GW) worldwide in that year compared to just 215 megawatts (MW) in 2009. This growth is forecast to generate annual wholesale market revenues of $4 billion by 2016.
“Rapidly falling cost per watt will be a major driver of BIPV and BAPV installations in the coming years,” said Dave Cavanaugh, senior analyst. “In addition, rooftop installations are becoming much easier with the market entry of new, high-efficiency CIGS-technology panels and shingles. At the same time, the aesthetic appeal of BIPV and BAPV is improving with the introduction of solar crystalline silicon modules and thin film tiles and shingles that blend into building facades, atria, and rooftops.”
Cavanaugh said that other key growth drivers include newly instituted generous BIPV/BAPV feed-in tariffs in countries such as Italy, Japan, France, the U.K., and Canada, and he believes it is likely that the U.S. will institute BIPV/BAPV incentives beginning in 2011. Additional factors that are likely to fuel the adoption of BIPV/BAPV are efficiency improvements in both c-Si modules and flexible thin film panels and shingles, an enhanced supply chain for BIPV/BAPV solar products, much easier rooftop installation, and an increasing desire to “go green” by owners of residences and commercial buildings.


Glass Production in Emerging Economies to Drive Soda Ash Demand

Global consumption of soda ash fell by 7.6% in 2009 to 44 mt, following growth of 4.2% per year between 2000 and 2008, according to a new study from Roskill Information Services Ltd. Consumers in the glass industry, which accounts for 53% of total demand, scaled back purchases during the global economic downturn. The decline was compounded by lower detergent and chemical output, the other major end uses for soda ash.

Emerging economies have previously driven growth for soda ash over the last decade, with rising GDP and urbanization leading to higher per capita use of products manufactured using soda ash. China was one of only a few countries showing a positive increase in soda ash consumption in 2009 and was responsible for 90% of world growth between 2000 and 2009. In industrialized economies, however, demand for soda ash has been flat due to the maturity of products using soda ash in the market, as well as substitution and competition pressures.

Future demand for soda ash, forecast to grow at 3% per year over the next five years, will be led by flat glass, detergents and water treatment. The use of soda ash in mining and metals and flue gas desulphurization might also spur increased demand. Emerging economies, particularly China and the wider Southeast Asia region, but also the Middle East, South Asia and South America, will continue to provide the best opportunities for soda ash demand growth on a regional basis. The outlook for developed economies is more uncertain.

U.S. Brick & Block Demand to Reach 12.4 Billion Units in 2014

Demand for brick and block products is projected to increase nearly 12% annually from a weak 2009 base to 12.4 billion units in 2014, valued at $8 billion. The expected recovery in building construction, specifically residential construction, will drive growth, according to “Brick & Block,” a new study from The Freedonia Group Inc.

Consumption of clay brick products tends to be concentrated in residential markets, reflecting the heavy use of clay brick as a siding material in new home construction. In 2009, demand for clay brick was very low (less than one-half the 2004 level) due to the ongoing severe contraction in new housing construction. As residential construction (particularly new single-family housing) rebounds through 2014, demand for clay brick will benefit, advancing 15% annually to 8.2 billion units in 2014, a considerable improvement over the weak performance of 2009 but still below the record level of 2004.

Demand for concrete brick and block products is projected to increase 6.9% annually to 4.3 billion units in 2014. Although the majority of demand will remain concentrated in nonresidential markets, the most significant growth opportunities will derive from the recovery in the housing market. This will benefit concrete brick (used in siding, paving and landscaping applications) and concrete pavers. Much slower gains will occur in structural and decorative concrete block products, which are more heavily reliant on nonresidential construction.

Global Ceramic Tile Market to Reach 92.78 Billion Square Feet by 2015

The worldwide ceramic tile market is projected to reach 92.78 billion square feet by 2015, due in part to the anticipated economy recovery in the medium term and the ensuing resurgence in construction activity, as well as new product innovations, according to a new report from Global Industry Analysts Inc.

The report states that Asia-Pacific and Europe collectively account for more than 80% share of the global market. The U.S. market is expected to witness erosion in sales by approximately 1268 million square feet between 2007 and 2011.

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