The market for advanced ceramics is forecast to top $12
billion by 2010.
Demand for advanced ceramics in the U.S. is forecast to increase 7.0%
per year from a weak 2005 base to over $12 billion in 2010. Following a few
years of retracted demand, the industry began to pick up momentum in 2003,
gained strength in 2004 and 2005, and is poised to continue growth through
2010. Although the advanced ceramics industry is in some respects mature and
well-established, it also relies heavily on technology. New or reinvigorated
uses for ceramics that offer growth potential include ballistic armor, ceramic
composite automotive brakes, diesel particulate filters, a wide variety of
joint replacement products and piezoceramic sensors.
Cordierite, titanate and zirconate ceramics will record
the most rapid rates of growth due to their use in environmental, medical
product and electronic component markets. A continued expansion in electronic
component shipments will provide opportunities for titanates and other
ceramics. Cordierite, titanates and others will benefit from a continued desire
to reduce the amount of particulates, nitrogen oxides and sulfur oxides
released into the atmosphere. Technological advancements in the medical product
market will provide opportunities for such ceramics as zirconates.
Other advanced ceramics, such as alumina, beryllia,
silicon carbide and silicon nitride materials, however, will show below average
gains due to environmental concerns, competition from other ceramics and a
reliance on slower-growing markets (such as cutting tools).
Electronics
The use of advanced ceramics is highly dependent on the
health of the electronic component and electrical equipment industries, which
accounted for a combined 52% of total demand in 2005. In the electronic
component market, the production of cellular phones, portable computing
devices, gaming systems and other personal electronic devices will continue to
spark demand for semiconductors, capacitors and other ceramics-containing
electronic components.
The largest outlets for advanced ceramics in the
electrical equipment market are insulators and permanent magnets, which
accounted for a combined 38% of total demand in 2005. Other advanced ceramic
electrical equipment includes igniters, heating elements, heat shielding
components, connectors and seals. All advanced ceramic use is included in this
market, such as those instances where electrical equipment is utilized in the
assembly of machinery and transportation equipment.
Industrial
Demand for advanced ceramics in the industrial machinery
market is projected to increase 5.3% per year through 2010 from a weak 2005
base. The primary growth driver will be the cyclical recovery in industrial
markets following the downturn of the early 2000s.
As users of machine tools and other industrial machinery
begin to benefit from the generally stronger macroeconomic environment, the
need to expand capacity, bring idled capacity back online and perform upgrades
to existing equipment will provide market opportunities for producers of
ceramic wear parts. In the case of cutting tools, which are more of a
consumable item, economic recovery will mean greater demand for the tools necessary
to cut and form metal.
Transportation and Medical
The transportation equipment and medical product markets
will also post healthy gains. In the transportation equipment market, growth will
result from acceleration in the production of both aerospace and motor vehicle
equipment, as well as through the increased use of ceramics in catalytic
converter substrates, engine bearings, ceramic armor for military vehicles,
diesel engine particulate filters and ceramic matrix composite brakes.
In the medical product market, gains will derive from the
increasing utilization of ceramics in joint replacement and dental procedures.
Other Materials
Monolithic ceramics (unreinforced ceramics cast directly
into final form) represent the dominant and best-established segment of the
industry. These products will experience more rapid gains, primarily due to
their use in the key electronic components market, which is set to rebound from
rates posted during the 2000-2005 period.
Consumption of ceramic coatings is forecast to increase
6.4% annually to $1.1 billion in 2010. Engine parts will show the greatest
growth potential, based largely on recovery in the transportation equipment
sector, and particularly in aerospace equipment. Potential growth applications
include building insulation, anti-corrosion and fire protection coatings, and
nanocrystalline coatings.
The fastest growth area for ceramic matrix composites
will also be in engine parts, while cutting tool and wear part applications
will lag overall growth. In general, growth will derive from the increased use
of ceramic matrix composites in a variety of extreme environment applications
where the enhanced strength and durability of these ceramics provide performance
advantages.
Editor's note: This article is based on
Advanced Ceramics, a December 2006 study available from The Freedonia Group
(226 pages, $4400). For more information, contact Corinne Gangloff, The
Freedonia Group, 767 Beta Dr., Cleveland, OH
44143-2326; (440) 684-9600; fax (440) 646-0484; e-mail cgangloff@freedoniagroup.com;
or visit www.freedoniagroup.com.Links